Mega Millions number frequency, odds and draw history

Mega Millions draws 5 numbers from 70, plus one Mega Ball from 24. This page counts 167 draws under the current rules, from April 8, 2025 to November 10, 2026, sold in every participating US jurisdiction, 21 of which this app catalogues.

How often each number has been drawn

Across 167 draws each ball should turn up about 12 times. Random variation alone spreads that out, and about 19 in 20 balls land between 5 and 19. 2 of the 70 balls fall outside it and chance alone would put about 3 there, so this is an ordinary result. 68 balls are indistinguishable from random.

This is the part worth reading twice. A number drawn more often than its neighbours has not become more likely, and the table below is sorted only because people expect it to be. The average wait between appearances for any one ball is 14.0 draws, so a gap several times that long is ordinary rather than overdue.

Ranked by how often each number has been drawn. Ranking is not a signal, it is what any fair draw looks like when you sort it.
Number	Times drawn	Against chance	Draws since last seen
40	19	above the band	8
49	19	above the band	3
18	18	typical	0
42	18	typical	10
10	17	typical	3
17	17	typical	18
30	17	typical	0
63	17	typical	9
27	16	typical	1
34	16	typical	1
43	16	typical	16
56	16	typical	15
68	16	typical	3
2	15	typical	0
13	15	typical	6
24	15	typical	2
38	15	typical	3
48	15	typical	6
58	15	typical	13
11	14	typical	8
16	14	typical	9
21	14	typical	4
59	14	typical	19
6	13	typical	11
51	13	typical	5
55	13	typical	11
62	13	typical	2
4	12	typical	2
19	12	typical	4
22	12	typical	20
26	12	typical	10
31	12	typical	2
33	12	typical	6
36	12	typical	16
41	12	typical	7
50	12	typical	22
57	12	typical	13
5	11	typical	3
12	11	typical	8
25	11	typical	0
37	11	typical	11
47	11	typical	22
52	11	typical	39
66	11	typical	8
7	10	typical	5
14	10	typical	4
15	10	typical	7
39	10	typical	35
60	10	typical	25
64	10	typical	1
70	10	typical	2
44	9	typical	1
53	9	typical	1
65	9	typical	0
1	8	typical	20
3	8	typical	5
8	8	typical	21
9	8	typical	15
32	8	typical	10
35	8	typical	6
45	8	typical	4
46	8	typical	5
54	8	typical	10
61	8	typical	19
69	8	typical	60
20	7	typical	26
23	7	typical	25
67	7	typical	4
28	6	typical	6
29	6	typical	21

The Mega Ball

Drawn from its own machine, one ball per draw out of 24, so it is counted on its own and compared against its own range rather than the one above. Across 167 draws each ball should turn up about 7 times. Random variation alone spreads that out, and about 19 in 20 balls land between 2 and 12. 1 of the 24 balls fall outside it and chance alone would put about 1 there, so this is an ordinary result. 23 balls are indistinguishable from random.

Ranked by how often each mega ball has been drawn. Ranking is not a signal, it is what any fair draw looks like when you sort it.
Mega Ball	Times drawn	Against chance	Draws since last seen
12	13	above the band	not in this era
16	11	typical	not in this era
24	11	typical	not in this era
1	10	typical	not in this era
7	9	typical	not in this era
17	9	typical	not in this era
2	8	typical	not in this era
3	8	typical	not in this era
10	8	typical	not in this era
6	7	typical	not in this era
8	7	typical	not in this era
22	7	typical	not in this era
23	7	typical	not in this era
4	6	typical	not in this era
5	6	typical	not in this era
9	6	typical	not in this era
14	6	typical	not in this era
18	5	typical	not in this era
19	5	typical	not in this era
21	5	typical	not in this era
11	4	typical	not in this era
20	4	typical	not in this era
13	3	typical	not in this era
15	2	typical	not in this era

The odds

Matching all 5 plus the Mega Ball is 1 in 290,472,336. Every tier is worked from the matrix directly, so these are exact rather than rounded figures copied from a leaflet.

Exact probabilities, worked from the matrix rather than quoted from anywhere.
Match	Chance per ticket
5 of 5 + Mega Ball	1 in 290,472,336
5 of 5	1 in 12,629,232
4 of 5 + Mega Ball	1 in 893,761
4 of 5	1 in 38,859
3 of 5 + Mega Ball	1 in 13,965
3 of 5	1 in 607
2 of 5 + Mega Ball	1 in 665
2 of 5	1 in 29
1 of 5 + Mega Ball	1 in 86
1 of 5	1 in 4

The rules have changed 4 times

Every boundary below was derived from the published draws themselves, by walking them in order and taking the first date no earlier matrix can account for, then checked against the announced change dates. A boundary can only ever be late, never early, which keeps every draw inside the era it is filed under.

This is why the counts above are scoped to the current rules. An all-time count for Mega Millions would mix in draws from a different drum, where balls added later never had a chance to appear, and those balls would read as permanently cold for a reason that has nothing to do with luck.

In effect	Main pool	Bonus pool
May 15, 2002 to June 24, 2005	52	52
June 24, 2005 to October 22, 2013	56	46
October 22, 2013 to October 31, 2017	75	15
October 31, 2017 to April 8, 2025	70	25
April 8, 2025 to today	70	24

The last ten draws

Draw date	Numbers
November 10, 2026	2 · 18 · 25 · 30 · 65 +22
November 6, 2026	27 · 34 · 44 · 53 · 64 +1
November 3, 2026	4 · 24 · 31 · 62 · 70 +3
October 30, 2026	5 · 10 · 38 · 49 · 68 +17
October 27, 2026	14 · 19 · 21 · 45 · 67 +3
October 23, 2026	3 · 7 · 46 · 49 · 51 +5
October 20, 2026	13 · 28 · 33 · 35 · 48 +3
October 16, 2026	2 · 15 · 31 · 41 · 68 +11
October 13, 2026	11 · 12 · 15 · 40 · 66 +17
October 9, 2026	2 · 7 · 16 · 63 · 70 +8

Where this comes from

Every draw on this page came from the jurisdiction that ran it, and the matrix was derived from that published history rather than copied from a marketing page. The full archive, 2,553 Mega Millions draws in all, ships inside the app and works with no connection at all.

Open LottoBook, or read every game counted in California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware.